Inflation and growth 'to go down'

No rate cut yet: Bank of England chief Mark Carney
PA
Joseph Watts19 July 2016

Britain was today hit by a double-whammy of bad news as official data showed rising prices and the International Monetary Fund predicted that Brexit would slash UK growth next year.

Government statistics showed that Consumer Price Inflation rose by 0.5 per cent in the year to June, compared with 0.3 per cent in the year to May.

The rise, meaning goods costing £100 last year now cost £100.50, was due to more expensive air fares, petrol and recreation activity including computer games and toys. At the same time the IMF today painted a gloomy picture of the economic outlook following the UK’s Brexit vote.

Britain had the largest downward revision in forecasted growth of any advanced economy, 0.2 per cent lower in 2016 and one per cent lower in 2017. European Union growth next year was also revised down by 0.2 per cent.

But the Office for National Statistics said it was too early to see the impact on inflation of the plunge in the value of the pound triggered by Britain’s decision to leave the European Union.

ONS statistician Phil Gooding said: “The rising cost of European flights, possibly boosted by the Euro championships, was the biggest reason for this increase in inflation.

The growing cost of oil, feeding through to petrol prices, also helped nudge up CPI. Today’s figures were collected before the EU referendum, so recent falls in the value of the pound will have had no impact on them.”

The Bank of England held back from cutting interest rates from 0.5 per cent this month, where they have remained since March 2009, but signalled a rate cut could come next month.

Investors and economists were taken by surprise, having expected the Bank to cut rates to 0.25 per cent after governor Mark Carney said that action would be taken over the summer.

Since then, Bank policymaker Martin Weale has questioned whether interest rates should even be slashed next month.

He said there were no signs that consumers or businesses were “panic-struck” following the Brexit vote.

Create a FREE account to continue reading

eros

Registration is a free and easy way to support our journalism.

Join our community where you can: comment on stories; sign up to newsletters; enter competitions and access content on our app.

Your email address

Must be at least 6 characters, include an upper and lower case character and a number

You must be at least 18 years old to create an account

* Required fields

Already have an account? SIGN IN

By clicking Sign up you confirm that your data has been entered correctly and you have read and agree to our Terms of use , Cookie policy and Privacy notice .

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged in

MORE ABOUT